Tournament: Loyola Invitational | Round: 3 | Opponent: Dulles RZ | Judge: Jonah Gentlemen
Dems win now – republican retirements, lack of true battle ground states, and the general progression of life in the pandemic sets them up to retain control
Shapiro 8/16 (Walter Shapiro; 8/16/21; The News Republic; “Can Biden Defy History in 2022?”; accessed 8/17/21; https://newrepublic.com/article/163086/can-biden-defy-history-2022-midterms; Walter Shapiro is a staff writer at The New Republic. He is also a fellow at the Brennan Center for Justice and a lecturer in political science at Yale.) HB
Since 2008, Gallup has been asking ... a hell of a ticket to run on.
The plan is politically unpopular – voters are divided which means that plans passage flips the major thin margins – vaccines proves
The Hill 5/4 (The Hill; 5/4/21; The Hill; “Poll: Majority oppose proposal to temporarily waive intellectual property rights on COVID-19 vaccines”; accessed 8/27/21; https://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/551797-poll-majority-oppose-proposal-to-temporarily-waive-intellectual) HB
A majority of voters oppose the proposal ... It has a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points.
A Republican win in 2022 shuts out climate action for decades
Silverman 8/24 (Ellie Silverman; 8/24/21; The Washington Post; “Climate activists fear this is the last chance to pass meaningful legislation”; accessed 8/27/21; https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2021/08/24/climate-biden-congress-protest/; Ellie Silverman covers protest movements, activism and local news. At The Post, she has also covered local crime and courts. She has previously reported on retail, breaking news and general assignment stories for the Philadelphia Inquirer, her hometown paper. She graduated from the University of Maryland, where she reported for the Diamondback) HB
There is a rising frustration among many ... by the end of the decade.
US climate action is key to world wide action
Beeler 19 (Carolyn Beeler; 9/18/19; PRI; “Top US leadership is 'missing ingredient' in climate change action”; accessed 8/27/21; https://www.pri.org/stories/2019-09-18/top-us-leadership-missing-ingredient-climate-change-action; Carolyn Beeler leads environment coverage for The World. She reports and edits stories focused on the people and places most impacted by climate change, and what they're doing to address it. She has reported from all seven continents and won national and regional awards for her breaking news and in-depth feature reporting. Before joining The World, Carolyn helped pilot the weekly health and science show, The Pulse, at WHYY in Philadelphia, and reported from Berlin for a year as a Robert Bosch Foundation fellow. She studied journalism at Northwestern University and got her start in radio as a Kroc fellow at NPR.) HB
World leaders will meet in New York next week ... to see the full impact of the US climate policy reversal.
Climate change causes extinction – ocean acidification, water and resource wars, econ collapse, and regional conflicts.
Pachauri and Meyer 15 (Rajendra K. Pachauri Chairman of the IPCC, Leo Meyer Head, Technical Support Unit IPCC were the editors for this IPCC report, “Climate Change 2014 Synthesis Report” http://epic.awi.de/37530/1/IPCC_AR5_SYR_Final.pdf IPCC, 2014: Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.). IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 151 pp)
SPM 2.3 Future risks and impacts caused by a changing climate ... such as poverty and economic shocks (medium confidence). {2.3.2} 2010 )